Follow us on social media to stay updated:

Your one-stop knowledge base for all things trading and investing.

1

free technical analysis course stopsaving.com

  • RSI vs Stochastic RSI: Which Should You Use?

    RSI vs Stochastic RSI comparison cover image showing both indicators
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 28, 2026

    The relative strength index (RSI) measures the momentum of an investment’s price. The Stochastic RSI measures the momentum of the RSI itself. That one difference decides everything else.

    Momentum is how much strength is behind a price move. The RSI tracks it slowly and steadily. The Stochastic RSI exaggerates every twitch in the RSI – so it tends to swing between extremes more often, with more false alarms.

    Here’s how the two indicators compare, and how to choose the right one for your trading or investment strategy.

    Read More

  • ETH/BTC Falling Wedge Breakout: 2 Targets for the Ratio

    ETHBTC weekly chart showing a falling wedge breakout with the ratio closing above the upper trendline with two potential targets
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 16, 2026

    The ETH/BTC ratio measures how much bitcoin one Ethereum is worth. Right now it’s just under 0.03 – meaning one ETH buys you nearly 0.03 BTC. When the ratio rises, Ethereum is beating bitcoin. When it falls, bitcoin is winning. And for the past year, bitcoin was winning inside a pattern called a falling wedge. Last week, that pattern broke – in Ethereum’s favor. 

    Read More

  • STRC Stock Reclaims the 50% Fibonacci After Crashing

    STRC stock daily chart showing the 50% Fibonacci retracement holding after the June crash
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 14, 2026

    When a price recovers half of a big crash, traders take note. That halfway point is the 50% Fibonacci level – and Strategy’s STRC preferred stock has now reclaimed it. Here’s what this thing is, why it crashed, and what to watch now.

    Read More

  • ETH Price Range: 3 Levels for Ethereum Swing Traders

    Ethereum weekly chart showing ETH price range with support and resistance zones and mid-range level for swing traders
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 9, 2026

    Investors who bought and held Ethereum over the past few years have mostly lost money. But Ethereum swing traders have had plenty to write home about. ETH hasn’t really seen a sustained uptrend since the 2020/2021 bull market. Instead, it’s traded in a wide range – with big rallies and big drops. According to this chart, ETH is at the bottom of that range now. 

    Read More

  • Tesla Stock (TSLA) Is “Safe” – if This Trendline Holds

    Tesla stock (TSLA) weekly chart showing price compression above rising trendline support since December 2024
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 8, 2026

    A rising trendline tells you buyers are getting impatient – every dip gets bought at a higher price than the last. Tesla stock (TSLA) has bounced off the same rising line on the weekly chart for over a year. 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin RSI Bullish Divergence Builds the Bottom Case

    Bitcoin daily chart showing RSI bullish divergence with price lower lows and RSI higher lows near $60,000
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 2, 2026

    A bullish RSI divergence signals that sellers are losing power – even while the price keeps drifting lower. Bitcoin’s daily chart just made one. The price dropped to $59,081 on June 5, then made a lower low of $57,737 on July 1. But the RSI did the opposite: it made a higher low in that time.

    Read More

  • Gold Bounce Incoming? 3 Reasons Not to Short $4,000

    Gold bounce: daily chart holding $4,000 support with a bullish RSI divergence
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 30, 2026

    The gold price has trended down since January. But at around $4,000 per ounce today, this is a poor spot to short. Here are three reasons why a 10% bounce could be fair game.

    Read More

  • Solana Double Bottom With Bollinger Bands

    Solana double bottom with Bollinger Bands long trade setup
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 29, 2026

    Solana (SOL) has made a double bottom pattern, with two major lows in June. The first low was on June 6 at $60.12 per SOL (SOLUSD, TradingView). The second low came on June 25 at $63.97 – higher than the first. Throw some Bollinger Band analysis around these two lows, and there could be more upside for SOL. 

    Here’s how the trade setup works – and how to know if it doesn’t. 

    Read More

  • The Dollar (DXY) Breakout – What It Means for US Stocks

    US dollar index DXY weekly chart breaking out above 100 with Fibonacci targets at 102.89 and 104.61
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 23, 2026

    The US dollar index (DXY) has broken out above 100. It closed last week at 100.76 and now trades around 101. Two weeks ago, I said the DXY needed to reclaim 100 to confirm its Wyckoff accumulation pattern. That’s now playing out – meaning the dollar could strengthen versus other major currencies. 

    Read More

  • Fund Managers Are All-In on Stocks (Bank of America Survey)

    Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey June 2026 – table summarizing key highlights
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 20, 2026

    Institutional investors are nearly all-in on stocks, according to Bank of America’s June Global Fund Manager Survey. Its main sentiment gauge has even flashed a “sell signal” – a level that’s lined up with past market tops. It seems the pros are all-in on stocks, but should you be too?

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Just Confirmed a Classic Wyckoff Spring

    Bitcoin daily chart showing a Wyckoff spring below $62,787 support and a reclaim in June 2026
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 16, 2026

    Bitcoin just confirmed a classic Wyckoff Spring – something you typically only see at major market bottoms. First, the price lost a huge support level that buyers had held for four months. It then spent a few days below that support, before “springing” back above the line. Here’s what it means for bitcoin, and what to look out for to keep the bull case intact.

    Read More

  • How Low Can Silver Go? Bear Market Fibonacci Targets

    Silver bear market Fibonacci chart showing how low silver fell after the 1980, 2011, and 2026 tops
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 10, 2026

    Silver could have a long way to fall if its bull market is done. Over the past 50 years, silver has given back at least half of every parabolic run – and in 1980 it gave back almost three-quarters. If you run those retracements on the current cycle, the downside zone is somewhere between $37.63 and $19.23.

    Read More

  • Is the Dollar (DXY) Forming a Wyckoff Accumulation Low?

    US dollar index DXY chart showing a possible Wyckoff accumulation low with spring and phases A to E
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 9, 2026

    If you’re a fan of the Wyckoff method, you’ll want to pay close attention to this chart. It shows how the US dollar index (DXY, TradingView) has traded in a sideways range for over a year. And the shape of that range looks eerily similar to a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. If the pattern plays out, it would suggest the US dollar could be finding a major low. And it could get a lot stronger versus other currencies in the coming months. 

    Read More

  • Nasdaq Bearish Engulfing Candle Meets the SpaceX IPO

    Nasdaq 100 weekly chart printing a bearish engulfing candle after a 34.68% rally from the March 2026 low
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 6, 2026

    The Nasdaq 100 index just closed the week with a bearish engulfing candle. The index – which is a proxy for US tech stocks – is down nearly 6% from its June 3 high of 30,762.20 points. And the timing is interesting: Elon Musk’s SpaceX will list on the US stock market next week. It will be the biggest initial public offering (IPO) of shares in market history.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Just Tagged the 200-Week Moving Average “Value Zone”

    Weekly bitcoin chart on log scale showing price tagging the 200-week moving average at every cycle bottom since 2015
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 4, 2026

    Bitcoin just tagged its 200-week moving average – a line with a serious track record. It’s been “close enough” to every major bitcoin bottom since 2015. In hindsight, each touch was a long-term value zone for bitcoin buyers to dollar-cost average in.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Dropped on the Crypto Dip

    Weekly bitcoin dominance BTC.D chart dropping from 66 during a 2026 crypto sell-off
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 3, 2026

    Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D, TradingView) dropped over the past week, even as the crypto market sold off. That’s a bit unusual: when crypto falls, dominance often rises – because investors see it as “safer” than most altcoins. This time bitcoin fell more than the general market. 

    Read More

  • Has MicroStrategy’s 200-Week MA Flipped Bullish?

    MicroStrategy MSTR weekly chart flipping the 200-week moving average from resistance to support after a 61.8% Fibonacci bounce
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 30, 2026

    MicroStrategy stock (aka Strategy, MSTR) did something interesting last week: it held the 200-week moving average as price support. After bouncing at the 61.8% “golden” Fibonacci ratio on Thursday, the stock closed Friday above the moving average. 

    Read More

  • Gold Tests Its 200-Day Moving Average (Again)

    Gold daily chart testing the 200-day moving average after a 50% Fibonacci rejection
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 28, 2026

    About a month ago, I wrote about three bearish signals for gold. The price has fallen since then. Gold is now trading back at its 200-day moving average – the same line it bounced off hard in March.

    Read More

  • 3 Reasons Bitcoin Could Bounce From Here

    Bitcoin bounce setup on daily chart at 50-day moving average and bottom Bollinger Band, with RSI hidden bullish divergence potential
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 20, 2026

    After hitting $82,000 per coin in early May, bitcoin has since fallen about 8%. Is this the start of a bigger drop, or are there reasons to believe the pullback could be over? This chart shows three reasons why bitcoin could be setting up for a bounce.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Rejected at the 200-Day Moving Average – That’s OK

    Bitcoin daily chart showing price rejected at the 200-day moving average near 82000
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 14, 2026

    Bitcoin has rallied 37.72% off the 6 February low. The rally hit its peak on 6 May and got rejected just below the 200-day moving average. Bitcoin tried to break the moving average again on 10 May and got rejected again. The line is now acting as resistance at around 82,000. Early rejections at this level are normal. They can also set up something more interesting.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin vs Nvidia: BTC/NVDA Ratio Down 92% Since 2021 Peak

    Bitcoin to Nvidia ratio monthly chart showing 92 percent drop from March 2021 peak toward January 2017 low
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 13, 2026

    Bitcoin is down 92% against Nvidia since the BTC/NVDA ratio peaked at 4,836.8 in March 2021. The ratio is now around 360 – closing in on its January 2017 low of about 290. Bitcoin has all but round-tripped its earlier gains over the tech stock.

    Read More

  • SUI Reclaims 20-Week Moving Average After 29 Weeks Below

    SUI weekly chart with 20-week moving average showing reclaim after 29 weeks below the line
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 12, 2026

    SUI closed back above its 20-week moving average last Sunday – for the first time since October 2025. It spent 29 weeks under the line before that – the longest stretch in SUI’s short trading history. The only other long run below was 18 weeks back in 2024. After SUI reclaimed the line that time, the price rose about sixfold over the next three months.

    Read More

  • Solana Market Cap vs SOL Price: A Lesson In Token Dilution

    Solana market cap vs SOL price chart since 2021 showing multiple market cap peaks and one SOL price peak
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 9, 2026

    Solana’s market cap has made multiple new highs since the November 2021 bull market peak. But the Solana token price (SOL) has only made one – beating its 2021 high by about 14%. The reason is token dilution: Solana’s supply keeps growing, so each token owns a smaller slice of the pie.

    Read More

  • Traders Pay to Short Bitcoin (Negative Funding Rates)

    Bitcoin perpetual swaps weekly chart showing negative funding rates while the price rises
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 6, 2026

    Since the week of 13 April 2026, traders have been paying fees to short bitcoin using perpetual swaps. Over the same time, the bitcoin price has risen by about 15%. That’s nearly a month of negative funding rates during a recovery rally – and that doesn’t happen very often.

    Read More

  • Coinbase Stock (COIN) Builds an Ascending Triangle

    Coinbase stock daily chart showing ascending triangle pattern with rising support, flat resistance near 215 dollars
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 5, 2026

    Buyers have shown up at higher and higher prices since February, but sellers keep capping the move at around $215. Here’s an ascending triangle pattern on Coinbase stock – and the resolution might come on Thursday when the company reports earnings.

    Read More

  • Nvidia (NVDA) Just Confirmed an RSI Bearish Divergence

    Nvidia weekly chart showing bearish divergence with price making higher high while RSI makes lower high
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 4, 2026

    Nvidia’s weekly chart just confirmed a bearish divergence between the price and the relative strength index (RSI). The price made a new high in April 2026 – above its October peak. But the RSI didn’t follow – it made a lower high. If you’re going strictly by the technical analysis book, last week’s bearish engulfing candle was the “confirmation” of that top. And the confirmation of the RSI bearish divergence.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Just Printed a Bullish Morning Star (Monthly)

    Bitcoin monthly chart bullish morning star pattern with February red candle March indecision and April green
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 2, 2026

    Bitcoin’s monthly chart just printed a textbook bullish morning star candle sequence. February closed deep in the red at $66,993.86. March was a small indecision candle, closing at $68,226.39. April closed strong in the green at $76,318.70. 

    Three months, three candles, and one of the cleanest reversal patterns you can ask for on a monthly chart.

    Read More

  • Has Silver’s Bubble Popped? 3 Lower Highs and Counting

    Silver weekly chart showing three lower highs since the 29 January bull market peak at $121.65
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 30, 2026

    Silver peaked at $121.65 on 29 January 2026 after a 292.62% rally in 12 months. Three months later, the weekly chart has printed three lower highs in a row. The trend has flipped from up to down – and the bigger picture might be uglier than most silver bulls realize.

    Read More

  • 3 Bearish Signals on Gold’s Weekly Chart

    Gold weekly chart showing three bearish signals 20 week moving average, 50% Fibonacci rejection, and RSI rejection at 60
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 29, 2026

    Gold started 2024 near $2,000 an ounce – then peaked at $5,599 on 29 January this year. That’s roughly 180% in just over two years. But the rally has stalled. And the weekly chart is now flashing three bearish signals at the same time. 

    Read More

  • Intel (INTC) Broke a 26-Year Resistance Ceiling

    Intel stock weekly chart breaking above 26-year resistance from dot-com peak
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 28, 2026

    Intel just broke above its August 2000 all-time high after 26 years. Anyone who bought Intel at the dot-com peak waited 26 years to get back to break-even. Last Friday’s weekly close above the old high finally got them there. The stock is now up almost 400% from its April 2025 low.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin’s Broadening Wedge (The Bull Hopium Case)

    Bitcoin weekly chart broadening wedge pattern with bullish target above $140K
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 27, 2026

    Bitcoin has been trading tentatively higher since tagging $60K in early February. But on the weekly chart, a clean broadening wedge is taking shape. If you’re looking for a bullish bitcoin scenario, this is one chart to watch.

    Read More

  • Global Liquidity Index Explained (How to Use it in Investing)

    Global Liquidity Index Explained
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 23, 2026

    The Global Liquidity Index (GLI) is a TradingView indicator that tracks global liquidity: how much capital flows through the global economy at any point. It combines central bank balance sheets, money supply, and key US liquidity accounts into a single line. When liquidity expands, it often lifts stocks, crypto, and other investments – making GLI a useful indicator for traders and investors. This guide explains how the Global Liquidity Index works, and how you can use it in the markets.

    Read More

  • Is Ethereum (ETH) in a Long-Term Buy Zone?

    Ethereum ETH monthly chart four bounces off long-term upward trendline since 2022
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 16, 2026

    Ethereum just bounced off a long-term monthly trendline for the fourth time since 2022. It happened in July 2022, January 2023, May 2025, and now March 2026. ETH is now trading at roughly $2,350 – about 20% above the gold trendline in the chart. 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin (BTC) vs Downward Trendline

    Bitcoin daily chart showing downward trendline rejection from October 2025 peak
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 13, 2026

    Bitcoin peaked at $126,000 on 6 October 2025. It then made a series of lower highs – and a downward trendline connects them. The second lower high came in around $98,000 in January. The price then crashed to around $60,000 in early February. It’s bounced since – but last week it ran into the trendline and got turned away. Now what?

    Read More

  • S&P 500: 3 Closes Below the Lower Bollinger Band

    S&P 500 weekly chart 3 closes below lower Bollinger Band with Band Width indicator
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 28, 2026

    The S&P 500 (SPX) topped at 7,002 points on 28 January 2026. It started dropping slowly at first (as many tops do), then faster. Three consecutive weekly candles have now closed below the lower Bollinger Band, which suggests downward volatility is picking up. And here’s the scary part: volatility is still low, according to the indicator.

    Read More

  • Palantir Stock (PLTR) Rejects at the 200-Day Moving Average

    Palantir stock PLTR daily chart showing rejection at 200-day moving average
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 15, 2026

    Palantir (PLTR) spent almost 3 years trading above its 200-day moving average in a phenomenal bull run. But now the stock is below it. The line that was once a bull market price floor has become a ceiling.

    Read More

  • Brent Crude Oil Hit Falling the Wedge Target – Now What?

    Brent crude oil weekly chart showing falling wedge breakout before the Iran news and target zone hit near $120
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 12, 2026

    Two weeks ago, I wrote about Brent crude oil (UKOIL) breaking out of a multi-year falling wedge on the monthly chart. The pattern pointed to higher oil prices. Then on February 28, the US and Israel started bombing Iran. The oil price spiked, hitting the falling wedge target zone around $120 on March 9. Then it reversed back below $100.

    This is an unfortunate example of Bernard Baruch’s famous quote: “Show me the chart and I will tell you the news”.

    Read More

  • MicroStrategy (MSTR) Rejects at the 200-Week Moving Average

    MicroStrategy MSTR weekly chart showing rejection at 200-week moving average with bitcoin-era bull runs highlighted
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 9, 2026

    MicroStrategy stock (MSTR) hit its 200-week moving average from below last week – and got slapped back down. The stock’s down about 75% from its all-time high of $543 in November 2024. No bitcoin-era bull run for MSTR has ever started without it first reclaiming – and holding – the 200-week MA.

    Read More

  • Crypto RSI Heatmap Is Oversold Across the Board

    Crypto RSI heatmap showing almost all major coins in weak or oversold zone
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 8, 2026

    The crypto RSI heatmap is flashing green across almost every major coin right now. The RSI (relative strength index) measures the balance between buying and selling pressure for an investment. The higher the RSI, the stronger buyers are. The lower it is, the stronger sellers are. And right now, sellers are winning almost everywhere. The average weekly RSI across the crypto market is 37.81 – firmly in the “weak” zone.

    Read More

  • Silver Dead Cat Bounce Into the Golden Fibonacci Pocket?

    Chart showing a potential silver dead cat bouce into the golden Fibonacci pocket between the 50 Fib levels
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 3, 2026

    Silver rallied bigtime off its lows near $64 and pushed into the high $90s. But the daily chart shows the rally just hit a brick wall of sellers – right inside the golden Fibonacci pocket. That’s the zone between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. So far, it’s looking like a dead cat bounce for the No.2 metal.

    Read More

  • TLT Breaks Its 6-Year Downtrend on the Monthly Chart

    TLT monthly chart showing first close above 6-year downtrend trendline
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 28, 2026

    The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) just did something it hasn’t done since 2020. It closed a monthly candle above its long-term downtrend trendline. For bond bulls who’ve been underwater for six years, it’s the first real sign the trend might be changing.

    Read More

  • Brent Crude Oil Retests Its Falling Wedge Breakout

    Brent crude oil monthly chart showing falling wedge breakout and retest
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 28, 2026

    Brent crude oil broke above a multi-year falling wedge on the monthly chart last month. This month, the price came back down and retested the trendline from above – and held. That’s a textbook breakout-retest sequence, and it’s one of the better signals you can get from a chart.

    Read More

  • Solana Is Testing the 78.6% Fibonacci Level

    Solana monthly chart showing price bounce at 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 28, 2026

    Solana (SOL) has pulled back hard from its cycle high near $295. But the price just bounced at a level that Fibonacci traders pay close attention to – the 78.6% retracement. Buyers are stepping in so far. Now they need to prove they can hold it.

    Read More

  • Coinbase Stock (COIN) Is in a Giant Broadening Wedge

    Coinbase stock weekly chart showing large broadening wedge pattern with trendline support
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 27, 2026

    Coinbase stock (COIN) has bounced roughly 30% from its February 12 low of $139. That low came on the same day the company reported $7.2 billion in 2025 revenue and doubled its crypto trading market share. The fundamentals looked strong – but the stock sold off anyway. So what does the chart say now?

    Read More

  • Moderna (MRNA) New Uptrend: Above 8-Week EMA with SR Flip

    Moderna (MRNA) Price Chart Holding Above 8-Week EMA with Support Resistance Flip
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 23, 2026

    Not many big biotech stocks are down almost 90% from their all-time highs. After peaking in August 2021 at $497 per share – and then crashing to pre-Covid lows – Moderna has started to rally. The stock is now trading near $50 and is holding above its 8-week exponential moving average (EMA). 

    The price chart looks like it’s formed a long-term low – turning old resistance into new support. Here’s what to look out for next. 

    Read More

  • Gold Makes Highest Weekly Close – Near Upper Bollinger Band

    Gold Makes Highest Weekly Close Ever And keeps walking the upper Bollinger Band
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 22, 2026

    They say the trend is your friend until the end. And if you look at gold’s weekly closing prices, the trend is still up. After a 21% drop earlier this year, the gold price just made its highest ever weekly close. That’s its second consecutive close back above $5,000 per ounce since the dip. The price is also hugging the top Bollinger Band each week – a sign of a strong uptrend in motion.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin to Gold Ratio at Long-Term Support Trendline

    Bitcoin to gold ratio shows the bitcoin price in gold, which is at long-term support trendline
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 16, 2026

    The bitcoin to gold ratio – which measures the bitcoin price in gold ounces – is at a potential support level. The trendline connects the monthly closing lows of 2019, 2020, and 2023. If the trendline holds, bitcoin could find its next major low against the yellow metal.

    Read More

  • Pepe RSI Bullish Divergence – Crypto Risk Appetite Back?

    Pepe RSI bullish divergence on the weekly chart
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 15, 2026

    Pepe rallied about 27% yesterday, and is now up over 50% since bitcoin bounced at $60,000. This chart suggests there could be more upside for the memecoin – and crypto risk appetite is trickling back.

    Read More

  • Nasdaq Double Top Potential as Bollinger Bands Squeeze

    Nasdaq double top pattern forming on weekly chart with Bollinger Bands squeeze showing low volatility and potential breakdown ahead
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 14, 2026

    The Nasdaq 100 index could be forming a double top pattern on the weekly chart. And if you follow Bollinger Band theory, now would be a time to be cautious on US big tech stocks. Here’s the rationale behind the theory, and what to look out for next.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Weekly RSI At Rare Oversold Level

    Bitcoin weekly RSI at rare oversold level around 27, near historic lows
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 12, 2026

    Bitcoin’s weekly RSI opened at 27.4 on Monday – one of its “most oversold” levels ever. That doesn’t guarantee the bottom is in, but it does mean sellers are overstretched.

    Read More

  • Crypto Fear and Greed Index Hits Second-Most Fearful Ever

    Crypto Fear and Greed Index at extreme fear near historic lows
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 10, 2026

    The Crypto Fear and Greed Index hit 6 during last week’s crypto crash – its second-lowest reading ever. The lower the reading, the more extreme the fear among crypto investors, according to the indicator. 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Reclaims the Bottom Bollinger Band

    Bitcoin daily chart reclaiming the bottom Bollinger Band after a sell-off
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 8, 2026

    After bitcoin hit $60,000 this week, buyers stepped in. The price then closed back above the lower Bollinger Band (green) – a sign that sellers are tiring. That doesn’t promise the low is in, but it’s an important win for the bulls. Here’s why.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Has Another “Bearish” Moving Average Cross

    Bitcoin bearish moving average cross 20-week moving average crosses below the 50-week moving average to the downside
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 28, 2026

    If you’re looking for a bearish bitcoin scenario, history could be on your side. Bitcoin just had another “bearish” moving average cross: the 20-week moving average (MA) has crossed below the 50-week MA. That’s only happened four other times since 2014. On each of those occasions, the bitcoin price drifted down to the 200-week MA.

    Read More

  • Gold Volatility Is Rising With The Rally

    Chart showing extreme gold volatility with monthly Bollinger Bands widest since 1982
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 13, 2026

    The gold price has more than doubled since clearing $2,000 an ounce in early 2024. And with it, gold volatility has kept rising. According to the monthly Bollinger Bands, volatility hasn’t been this high since 1982.

    Read More

  • ETH/BTC Is Retesting a Key Trendline – And Holding It So Far

    Ethereum Bitcoin (ETHBTC) monthly price chart holding above a downward sloping trendline after bouncing from support
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 11, 2026

    Ethereum is up almost 100% against bitcoin since the ETHBTC ratio (ETH/BTC) bottomed at 0.018 in April 2025. The ratio is far from making a new high – but it is attempting its first higher low in years. It’s also holding above the downward sloping trendline (gold, in the chart). 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Weekly Chart Prints Triple RSI Bearish Divergence

    Chart showing Bearish Divergence Between Bitcoin & Relative Strength Index (RSI)
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    August 2, 2025

    This chart shows three drives of bearish divergence between the bitcoin price and its relative strength index (RSI). Since the start of 2024, the price made higher highs as the RSI made lower highs. So even though the price is going up, it’s rising with less force each time, according to the indicator.

    Read More

  • Are We In a Stock Market Bubble? (3 Warning Signs to Watch)

    Cover image for stock market bubble guide
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    August 1, 2025

    Stocks are at all-time highs, Big Tech is booming, and Nvidia is worth more than entire countries. So the obvious question is: are we in a stock market bubble? This post breaks it down simply. We’ll explain what a bubble actually is, and then check three warning signs to see if we’re in one today.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Dominance Bounces At The Bottom Bollinger Band

    Chart showing the Bitcoin dominance chart (BTC.D) bounce at the lower bollinger band
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 30, 2025

    Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) measures the percentage share of the crypto market made up of bitcoin. When it goes up, it means bitcoin is generally outperforming the rest of the crypto market (regardless of whether both go up or down in dollars). In other words, a rising bitcoin dominance does not spell “altcoin season”.  

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Trend: One Log Trendline To Track The Bull Run

    Chart showing the bullish bitcoin trend using a logarithmic trendline
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 29, 2025

    If you’re trying to track the bitcoin trend, the green trendline in this chart can help. Bitcoin has bounced off it many times during the current bull run, which began in 2023. As long as the trendline holds, it’s difficult to call for any sort of “bitcoin top” this cycle. That said, the trendline will break at some point, which could be where things turn more bearish for bitcoin.

    Read More

  • XRP Chart Analysis: 3 Things To Watch

    XRP chart analysis image showing weekly candle, Bollinger bands, and RSI
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 28, 2025

    XRP has been a top performer this crypto cycle – but it might not be the best time to FOMO in. This chart tracks the weekly price candles of XRP to focus on the longer-term trend (rather than short-term noise). Here are three things to keep in mind. 

    Read More

  • Gold Chart – Ascending Triangle and Technical Targets

    Gold ascending triangle chart and price targets
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 27, 2025

    The price of gold has squeezed into a tighter trading range over the past few months. The chart now shows a textbook ascending triangle – typically a bullish pattern in technical analysis. It’s a sign of buyers getting more aggressive, as the price keeps bouncing off higher support. But they’ll need to break that wall of sellers (near $3,500) to put the gold rally back on track.

    Read More

  • Tick Tock Goes The 10 Year Yield Clock

    Chart showing 10 year yield on US Treasury bonds wedging into tighther trading range
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 22, 2025

    This chart shows the 10 year yield on US Treasury bonds – arguably the most important chart in financial markets right now. It’s been squeezing into a tighter range for the past year, after a massive run-up post-Covid. When it breaks out of that range, we could see a ripple effect across other investments. It’s calm now, but the range will eventually break.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Hits Golden Fibonacci Extension of Last Bull Run

    Chart showing bitcoin hits golden fibonacci extension
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 19, 2025

    Bitcoin just touched a major level – the 1.618 golden Fibonacci extension of its last bull market. It popped just above it earlier this week, but is now trading back below it. So far, the golden Fib has “rejected” bitcoin from running higher. Here’s what it means. 

    Read More

  • Ethereum Dominance (ETH.D) Bounces After All-Time Low

    Ethereum dominance chart bounced on support after reaching all time low
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 18, 2025

    Ethereum Summer is in full swing – according to the Ethereum dominance chart (ETH.D, TradingView). On April 21 of this year, ETH.D hit an all-time low of 6.95%. Since then, it’s been sunshine and blue skies, with the metric trading at over 11% today.

    Read More

  • MicroStrategy Volatility – Back From Bollinger Band Squeeze

    MicroStrategy Volatility Bollinger Bands
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 17, 2025

    With bitcoin breaking out to new highs lately, MicroStrategy stock (MSTR) is waking up again. This chart shows the daily price candles of MSTR, and the Bollinger Bands surrounding it. In late June, the bands squeezed together tightly – meaning volatility dropped off. But now that the bands are getting wider, volatility is back with a vengeance. 

    Read More

  • Tokenized Stocks Explained (And How To Invest)

    Tokenized stocks explained guide cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 16, 2025

    Over $130 trillion worth of stocks trade on global stock markets today – but less than $20 million of those are tokenized. If most stock ownership eventually goes on the blockchain, we could be onto something big. This guide breaks down what tokenized stocks are, how they work, and three potential ways to invest in the trend.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin 6-Month Candles: 5 Green In a Row

    bitcoin 6 month candles 5 green in row
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 15, 2025

    Bitcoin has printed five 6-month green candles in a row, with the price going up every 6-months since January 2023. The last time it did that was between July 2015 and December 2017 – though the percentage price jump was much higher back then. Still, this bitcoin bull run has been steady and consistent.

    Read More

  • How to Earn Bitcoin Interest (3 Ways)

    How to earn bitcoin interest guide cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 10, 2025

    Bitcoin doesn’t pay interest or dividends on its own. It’s more like gold or silver: the reward is all in the price. But while you wait for the bitcoin price to hit the moon, you may want to put your coins to work. So in this guide, we’ll explain three ways to earn bitcoin interest – each with different levels of risk. 

    You’ll learn how each option works and which one could best suit your goals.

    We produced this guide in partnership with Xapo Bank*.

    Read More

  • Why 1 Bitcoin Is Worth More Than a Kilo of Gold (3 Reasons)

    Bitcoin price vs gold kg price cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 10, 2025

    The chart below compares the price of one bitcoin (blue line) with the price of one kilo of gold (gold line). Both are in US dollars.  As you can see, a single bitcoin is now worth more than a kilo of the yellow metal. What’s even more interesting is how quickly the premier crypto has caught up over the past five years. 

    Read More

  • US Dollar Drop: Biggest 6-Month Red Candle Since 1991

    US dollar drop chart 6 month candles
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 9, 2025

    The US dollar just had its biggest six-month drop since 1991. The US dollar index (DXY) tracks the dollar’s value against six major currencies. It fell 10.82% from January through June. 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Supply in Profit % in the “Caution Zone”

    Bitcoin supply in profit
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 8, 2025

    The bitcoin price is trading close to all-time highs – which is technically a good thing if you’re bullish. But the “bitcoin supply in profit” chart says it could be wise to keep your wits about you. Over 95% of bitcoin holders are now sitting in profitable positions. When many holders are in profit, even a small wave of selling can move the price.

    Read More

  • Total 3 Chart Analysis: Two Trendlines and the 20-Week SMA

    TOTAL 3 chart breakout analysis
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 7, 2025

    Altcoins could be coiling up for a move, according to this TOTAL 3 chart. The TOTAL3 chart tracks the altcoin market, less bitcoin and ethereum. It’s wedging into a giant triangle pattern, squeezed between two clear trendlines. 

    Read More

  • A US Treasury Bond Trade Setup For UK Investors

    US treasury bonds for UK investors cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 4, 2025

    If you’ve followed my recent articles, you’ll know I’ve been banging on about US Treasury bonds for some time. Specifically, long-dated US Treasury bonds that mature in 20 years or more. My general thesis is that these bonds could do well if US interest rates and inflation both drop. If you’re a UK investor (like me), here’s how to get exposure to the trade.

    Read More

  • How to Tell If the Next Bitcoin Breakout Isn’t a Fakeout

    Bitcoin breakout analysis cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 3, 2025

    There’s an old saying among breakout traders: “Show me an all-time high, and I’ll show you a buy.” Bitcoin’s last all-time high was just below $112,000 (set in May), and it’s teasing that level again now. Here’s how to gauge if this possible bitcoin breakout could be the real deal – or just a fakeout.

    Read More

  • 3 Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2025 (Ignore Them)

    bitcoin price predictions for 2025 cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 2, 2025

    Analysts throw out clever bitcoin price predictions all the time. Here are three big calls from well-known investors for 2025 – and why you should probably ignore them. 

    Read More

  • The Case for an AI Recession (And How to Invest)

    AI Recession and how to invest cover image_V2
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 1, 2025

    Artificial Intelligence (AI) can make businesses more efficient, but it can also put people out of work. Here’s why AI might cause the next recession, and how to invest if it happens.

    Read More

  • How to Store Bitcoin Safely: Security and Custody Explained

    How to store bitcoin safely guide cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 7, 2025

    Bitcoin security starts with how you store it. Even though the blockchain itself is unbreakable, your coins are only as safe as your storage method. In this guide, we’ll break down how to store bitcoin safely – comparing custodial vs non-custodial wallets, hardware devices, mobile apps, and other options. You’ll learn how to choose the right setup for your goals, risk tolerance, and level of control.

    Read More

  • Silver Nears Key Resistance at the Golden Fibonacci (61.8%)

    Silver Resistance at golden Fibonacci retracement level
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 4, 2025

    Silver’s climbed about 200% since its Covid crash low in 2020 – and it’s now approaching a major technical resistance level. This chart shows the 61.8% “golden” Fibonacci level at $35.24 per ounce. If silver gets there, that’s a 61.8% recovery of the drop from its 2011 peak ($49.83) to its 2020 low ($11.64). 

    Most technical traders will be watching this level to gauge what silver does next.

    Read More

  • S&P 500 Trend: 2 Key Trendlines to Watch

    S&P 500 trend cover image showing 2 trendlines
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 3, 2025

    The S&P 500 index tracks the 500 biggest companies in the US stock market. Here are two key trendlines to help you gauge its overall trend.

    Read More

  • Sell in May vs Buy and Hold – What the Data Says

    Sell in May vs buy and hold 50 years
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 20, 2025

    “Sell in May and go away” is one of the oldest seasonal strategies in investing. The idea is simple: sell stocks on the first trading day of May to avoid the summer chop. Then buy back in November, when big investors are back at their desks and year-end rallies often begin. But how has that strategy stacked up in the past? Here’s what the data says over the past 50, and 25 years.

    Read More

  • Gold vs Silver Chart: $100 Invested Since 1975

    Silver vs gold price chart
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 25, 2025

    This chart tracks the value of $100 invested in gold vs silver since 1975. Over the past 50 years, the gold investment would be worth about $1,800 – more than double the silver one (~$800). But gold hasn’t always been ahead of silver. The silver investment had higher peaks in 1980 and 2011 (major bull market tops for the metals).  

    Read More

  • Tesla Bounces At The Golden Fibonacci (After Weak Earnings)

    Tesla Fibonacci bounce
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 24, 2025

    Tesla reported weak Q1 2025 earnings on Tuesday. But the stock price closed Wednesday over 5% higher – and the market is wondering why. This chart may hold the answer: Tesla bounced right off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement – the so-called “golden ratio.” That level often acts as strong price support after big downward moves. That’s as good a reason as any for a bounce (despite the bad news). 

    Read More

  • Gold vs US Dollar Index (DXY) – A Tale of Two Safe Havens

    Gold vs US Dollar Index (DXY)
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 23, 2025

    Gold is up about 26% this year, while the US dollar index (DXY) is down 8.5%. The chart says it all: gold’s golden run in 2025 has (so far) mirrored a steady slide in the dollar. Gold is priced in dollars – so when the dollar drops, gold gets cheaper for buyers using other currencies. That cheapness can boost gold demand and push up its price.

    Read More

  • Downside Fibonacci Targets (If Bitcoin Has Already Topped)

    Bitcoin fibonacci retracement levels
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 8, 2025

    If bitcoin has already peaked for this market cycle, you can naturally expect a bear market. In that case, the chart below shows some potential downside targets using Fibonacci retracement levels. These zones could make for good long-term bitcoin buys.

    Read More

  • DXY Chart – Support/Resistance Flip For The US Dollar

    DXY support resistance flip US dollar index
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 7, 2025

    The US Dollar Index (DXY) is holding above a key zone between 100 and 102 (green, in the chart). And it’s not just any zone: this acted as resistance (a ceiling) from 2015 to 2022. But after breaking that ceiling in 2022, the zone flipped into support (a floor). It’s a classic support/resistance (S/R) flip, and here’s why it matters for the markets.

    Read More

  • QQQ is Near its Long-Term Trendline (Again)

    QQQ trendline
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 6, 2025

    The Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) tracks the Nasdaq 100 – the go-to index for big tech growth stocks. Since 2010, the upward trendline in blue has supported QQQ’s price – and it’s now getting close to it again. As the chart suggests, buying the QQQ exchange-traded fund near the trendline worked out well in the past. 

    Read More

  • US 10-Year Treasury Yield (Head & Shoulders Breakdown)

    US 10 year treasury yield head and shoulders breakdown
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 4, 2025

    The US 10-year Treasury yield just dipped below 4% for the first time in months. This was after breaking down from a textbook head and shoulders pattern (blue, in the chart). And it could be a big deal for bonds, stocks, and the economy. 

    Read More

  • Stochastic RSI Explained (How to Use It In Trading)

    Stochastic RSI explained cover image for guide
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 3, 2025

    The Stochastic RSI takes the regular RSI a step further. Instead of looking at price momentum, it looks at the momentum of RSI itself. This guide explains what the Stochastic RSI is, how it works, and how to use it the right way in the markets.

    Read More

  • Own Gold and Hope it Doesn’t Go Up (But Maybe Rebalance)

    Q1 2025 Returns: Gold, SPY, QQQ, BTC, TLT
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 1, 2025

    There’s an old saying on Wall Street: “put 10% of your wealth in gold and hope it doesn’t go up”. And in the first quarter of 2025, that insurance policy paid off. The chart shows the percentage returns of different investments from the start of this year through the end of March. The SPDR® Gold Shares ETF (GLD) – which tracks the gold price – gained 19%. 

    Read More

  • GameStop (GME) Bitcoin Bet & RSI Hidden Bullish Divergence

    GameStop GME Bitcoin bet and hidden RSI bullish divergence
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 26, 2025

    GameStop (GME) has been quietly recovering for the past year, with the stock making higher lows (see chart above) on the weekly time frame. Meanwhile, its relative strength index (RSI, yellow) has formed lower lows – this is called a hidden bullish divergence. Put simply, the price has been climbing even though selling pressure has increased relative to buying pressure. In other words, sellers have been trying to push GME lower, but so far, they haven’t managed it. Now, with GameStop announcing plans to buy bitcoin, the stock looks more interesting for speculators.

    Read More

  • MicroStrategy Bitcoin Strategy Explained (Simple Breakdown)

    Microstrategy bitcoin strategy explained MSTR cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 25, 2025

    MicroStrategy (MSTR) used to be just a software company – but today, it’s the world’s biggest corporate bitcoin holder. This guide explains the MicroStrategy bitcoin strategy in plain English: how it works, why they’re doing it, and what the risks are. You’ll also see how MSTR has performed compared to bitcoin, Nvidia stock, and the Nasdaq 100.

    Read More

  • House Prices In Gold Are Getting Cheaper (3 Charts)

    US house prices in gold FHFA house price index vs gold
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 21, 2025

    Property prices have climbed quite a bit over the years. But if you measure house prices in gold (instead of regular currencies), buying a home has actually gotten much cheaper. Here are three charts for the US, UK, and European Union (it’s similar with other countries, too).

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Supply: Over 95% Has Already Been Mined

    Bitcoin supply chart 95% have already been mined
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 18, 2025

    If there was ever a reason to consider bitcoin as a long-term investment, this chart would be it. It tracks bitcoin’s total supply since Satoshi Nakamoto mined the first bitcoin block on January 9, 2009. Today, over 95% of all the bitcoin supply has already been created by miners. The remaining 5% will take another 115 years or so to mine – with all 21 million coins mined by 2140.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin’s 200-Day Moving Average Test: CME Futures on the Line

    Bitcoin CME futures 200 day moving average
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 11, 2025

    The price of CME Bitcoin Futures (BTC1!, TradingView) is down roughly 30% since January 21st. Now, it’s testing the 200-day moving average (SMA) – a key support level since the bitcoin bull run began in 2023. For bitcoin’s uptrend to stay intact, you’ll want to see the 200-day SMA hold.

    Read More

  • Nvidia Volatility is Rising (From a 4-Year Low)

    NVIDIA volatility shown with Bollinger Bands
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 28, 2025

    Nvidia stock’s volatility – measured by the weekly Bollinger Bands – reached a four-year low earlier this month. And after Wednesday’s earnings report, that volatility is now starting to make a comeback. When volatility returns after being ultra low, it usually overcompensates – that’s how volatility works. In other words, Nvidia Stock (NVDA) could be gearing up for a relatively big move. 

    Read More

  • Solana Bounces Off Support – 20-Week Moving Average Above

    Solana bounce at support
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 27, 2025

    After hitting $295.11 in January, Solana (SOL) crashed to $130.51 in February – down 55.78%. So far, SOL is bouncing off a major support region between $125 and $135 (green, in the chart). That said, Solana is now trading well-below its 20-week moving average (SMA, gold) – which could become resistance. 

    Read More

  • Safest Investment Over Past 5 Years? (What The Data Says)

    Safe investment cover image generic
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 26, 2025

    Not all investments are created equal – some swing like a rollercoaster, while others barely budge. If you’re wondering what the safest investment was over the past five years, I crunched the numbers for stocks, bonds, gold, and bitcoin. I measured volatility (risk), drawdowns (worst-case scenario losses), total returns, and Sharpe ratios (risk-adjusted performance) using data from PortfolioVisualizer. Here’s how the results stack up. 

    Read More

  • Gold’s 8-Week Rally: History Says Correction Could Be Next

    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 25, 2025

    The gold price has climbed for eight weeks straight now – a rare feat for the yellow metal. Since 1980, that’s only happened four times. Each time, the rally was followed by a correction shortly after.

    Read More

  • S&P 500 Flashes Bearish Signal: Stock Market Drop Possible

    US stock market drop signal RSI bearish divergence S&P 500
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 23, 2025

    A US stock market drop could be on the table if the latest RSI bearish divergence signal plays out. The S&P 500 (which tracks the top 500 US stocks) has made four consecutive higher highs since April 2024 (gray in the chart). Meanwhile, the relative strength index (RSI, gold) has made four consecutive lower highs. 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Volatility At Extreme Lows – Big Move Brewing?

    Bitcoin volatility BBWP Indicator
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 21, 2025

    Bitcoin volatility has collapsed to extreme lows. History says that won’t last forever – and bitcoin could be gearing up for a big move. According to the Bollinger Band Width Percentile (BBWP) indicator, bitcoin’s day-to-day price swings are now at their lowest levels since July 2020.

    Read More

  • Hedge Funds Are Short Ethereum – Could It Backfire?

    Net Ethereum short positions CME ether futures
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 20, 2025

    Ethereum has been in the spotlight lately, but not in a good way. Hedge funds are going short Ethereum (ETH) futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) in record amounts. And while that might seem bearish at first, the reality is a bit more complicated.

    Read More

  • What Is a Short Squeeze? How It Works and How to Trade It

    What is a short squeeze guide cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 19, 2025

    Most traders love a bull run, but nothing moves a market quite like a short squeeze. When short sellers get trapped, prices can skyrocket in a chain reaction of forced buying. In this guide, I’ll explain what a short squeeze is and how it works using real-life examples with stocks and crypto. We’ll then wrap things up with how to trade a short-squeeze to your advantage.

    Read More

  • Alibaba Stock Breaks Resistance – Bigger Breakout Ahead?

    Alibaba stock breakout BABA key resistance
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 16, 2025

    Alibaba stock (ticker: BABA) has spent years in the doghouse, but its fortune cookie might finally have a new message. The Chinese tech stock just broke above key resistance at $120 after trying (and failing) twice before. That’s a big deal. With earnings around the corner and macro factors at play, is this the start of a bigger BABA breakout?

    Read More

  • Crypto DCA Explained: How Dollar Cost Averaging Works

    crypto dca cover image example
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 14, 2025

    Crypto trading isn’t for everyone – some prefer a longer-term crypto DCA (dollar cost averaging) strategy to build wealth. This guide explains how DCA works and why it can be effective with highly volatile assets like bitcoin.

    Read More

  • Gold Miners vs Gold: Relative Value or Long-term Loser?

    Gold miners vs gold cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 6, 2025

    They say in a gold rush, you should sell shovels – not dig for gold. But if you’d bet on gold miners vs gold itself over the past 20 years, mining stocks would be down big against the metal. This chart divides the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) by the gold price to get a ratio. The ratio fell roughly 75% since GDX launched in 2006 – meaning gold was a much better investment since then. 

    Read More

  • What is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)? And How To Use It Right

    bitcoin dominance BTC.D cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 5, 2025

    If you trade or invest in crypto, you may have come across the term “bitcoin dominance”. In this guide, we’ll explain what bitcoin dominance is, how it works, and how to use it correctly in your crypto strategy. 

    Read More

  • Ethereum Falling Wedge Pattern – ETH Breakout Ahead?

    Ethereum falling wedge pattern
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 31, 2025

    If you’re into crypto pattern trading, they don’t come much cleaner than this. The chart shows an Ethereum falling wedge: a sign of price compression that might signal a potential bullish breakout for ether (ETH). Each red or green candle on the chart represents one day of price movement. The wedge is based on closing prices each day.

    Read More

  • US Dollar Inflation: $1 in 1913 Is Worth $32 Today

    US Dollar inflation since 1913
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 19, 2025

    The US dollar inflation rate (CPI) has averaged about 3.2% per year since 1913 (when the Federal Reserve (Fed) started). That might not sound like much, but over time, it really adds up. According to this chart, $1 in 1913 is worth about $32 today – with the dollar losing about 97% of its value. A millionaire in those days was more like a billionaire today.

    Read More

  • TLT Prints Weekly Bullish Engulfing Candle – Bond Rally Next?

    TLT bullish engulfing candle
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 18, 2025

    The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (Ticker: TLT) rallied almost two percent this week from open to close (13 to 17 Jan). But here’s the important bit: that rally completely eclipsed the drop the week before – when panicked investors threw in the towel. As the chart shows, TLT printed a bullish engulfing candle this week. And as the name suggests, that might be a bullish sign for the US government bond market. 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin’s Head and Shoulders Pattern “Failure”: $120K Next?

    Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern failure
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 17, 2025

    The head and shoulders crowd were at it again this week – as bitcoin started breaking down below $91,000. That’s a key support level for a head and shoulders pattern that was brewing since late November (in the chart). Bitcoin had a massive rally from October, and then started stalling, so a bigger drop wasn’t out of the question.

    Read More

  • What Is the Fear and Greed Index? Guide for Stocks & Crypto

    what is the fear and greed index crypto and stocks cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 16, 2025

    The Fear and Greed Index can help you gauge whether the market is fearful or greedy on a given day. There’s a fear and greed index for the stocks, and another one for crypto. In this guide, we’ll unpack how each one works – and how to use them in your trading or investment strategy.

    Read More

  • What Is The DXY Index? A Guide For Traders & Investors

    What is DXY guide cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 23, 2024

    The US dollar is like a wrecking ball for the global economy. When it swings, it can smash through financial markets, trade, and even debt costs. The DXY Index (US Dollar Index) helps traders and investors track these movements – showing how the dollar stacks up against six major currencies. In this guide, you’ll learn what the DXY is, and why it matters for your investments. 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Options Explained: Understanding Calls and Puts

    Bitcoin options guide cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 15, 2024

    Bitcoin options might sound complex, but they’re simpler than you think. This guide breaks down the theory of bitcoin call and put options. By the end, you’ll understand how they can help traders speculate on bitcoin’s price moves – or earn option income. Let’s jump in.

    Read More

  • Liquidation Heatmap Explained (How To Use It in Crypto)

    crypto liquidation heatmap explained cover image Coinglass
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 18, 2024

    The liquidation heatmap is like a crypto weather radar – it can help you spot the next big crypto liquidation storm. In this guide, I’ll explain what the crypto liquidation heatmap is, how it works, and how to use it the right way in your trading or investment strategy. Let’s jump in.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin and Gold: Why Own One When You Can Own Both?

    Bitcoin and gold in a portfolio
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 2, 2024

    Gold bugs and bitcoiners have been bickering for years, but they should have been getting along. According to this chart, owning both bitcoin and gold in your portfolio could be a winning combination. 

    Read More

  • The Hang Seng Is Back To Its Covid Crash Low

    Hang Seng index covid low
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 1, 2024

    The Hang Seng Index surged 18.31% in September, in what can only be described as a monthly “God candle”. The Hang Seng (HSI) currently tracks the biggest 82 companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, including Chinese tech giants like Tencent and Alibaba. At the end of September, the Hang Seng finished at 21,134 points (blue) – just five points shy of its March 2020 Covid crash low (gold). 

    Read More

  • Nasdaq vs S&P 500: Tech Stock Supremacy Since Dotcom Low

    Nasdaq vs S&P 500 performance
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 30, 2024

    This chart shows the performance of the Nasdaq vs S&P 500 from the dotcom bubble. Since the dotcom bottom in October 2002, investing in the Nasdaq 100 (NDQ, TradingView) would have beaten the S&P 500 (SPX) by almost 250%. But even with that massive gain, it took about 18 years for the Nasdaq to get back to its dotcom peak level (compared to the S&P 500).

    Read More

  • Bitcoin vs Silver: Tracking the Growth of Digital Gold

    Bitcoin vs silver ratio market size
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 29, 2024

    Bitcoin has some way to go before it overtakes gold in market size, but it’s already about 73% as big as silver. This chart tracks the bitcoin vs silver market size ratio, which is currently 0.73 (yellow). The ratio divides bitcoin’s total market size (CRYPTOCAP:BTC, TradingView) by the approximate market size of silver. Back in March, the ratio hit 1.04 (blue)—meaning bitcoin’s total market value was briefly above silver’s. 

    Read More

  • How To Trade Ethereum In Q4 2024 (3 Simple Trendlines)

    How to trade Ethereum with 3 trendlines
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 20, 2024

    Wondering how to trade Ethereum in the fourth quarter of 2024? Here’s one approach, using three simple trendlines to manage risk. 

    Read More

  • Crypto Funding Rate Heatmap Explained (How To Use It Right)

    Crypto funding rate heatmap guide cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 25, 2024

    The funding rate heatmap is a useful tool for crypto investors. In this guide, I’ll explain what it is, how it works, and how to use it correctly in your strategy. Especially when it comes to managing risk and avoiding big losses. This guide was first published in March 2024, but was updated to include a video version in July.

    Read More

  • Should You Use an AI Financial Advisor? Pros and Cons

    AI financial advisor cover image 6
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 17, 2024

    Artificial intelligence (AI) is changing the game for many industries, including finance and investing – enter the AI financial advisor. They can provide personalized investment advice at a lower cost than traditional human financial advisors. But what are AI financial advisors, and should you use one? This guide lays out the potential benefits, drawbacks, and key considerations.

    Read More

  • Market Cycle Investing Guide: 4 Stages & 13 Emotions

    Market cycle investing guide cover wall st cheat sheet
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    July 5, 2024

    Understanding the market cycle can seriously boost your investment game – whether you’re in stocks, crypto, gold, or other assets. In this guide, I’ll explain the four market cycle stages and the 13 investor emotions that typically go with them. You’ll also get a blueprint for how to invest (or not invest) within each market cycle stage. So, let’s explore how the market cycle drives investor behavior and asset prices – and what you can do about it.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Indicator (Explained With Past Results)

    Bitcoin hash ribbons indicator capriole investments cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 26, 2024

    The Bitcoin Hash Ribbons indicator, created by Capriole Investments, has given great long-term Bitcoin “buy signals” in the past. It combines the fundamental analysis of Bitcoin mining data with the technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price. In this guide, I’ll explain how the Bitcoin Hash Ribbon works and test its historical accuracy for investors. By the end, you’ll know whether to include the indicator in your own strategy – and how to use it if you do.

    Read More

  • The Top 10 Personality Traits of the World’s Best Investors

    Best personality traits for investing
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 11, 2024

    Good investors understand the market and have a clear strategy for success. But the best investors have something extra: the personality traits to win the investment game in the long run. For this post, I’ve researched and listed the top 10 personality traits of some of the world’s best investors (in no particular order). So if you’re wondering what type of behavioral characteristics will help you achieve more financial success, you’ll want to take a page out of each of their books. 

    Read More

  • Pi Cycle Top Indicator Explained: Predict Bitcoin’s Next Top

    bitcoin pi cycle top explained guide cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 7, 2024

    The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has accurately predicted its fair share of bitcoin tops in the past. The last four times it flashed a “top signal,” bitcoin crashed between 52% and 86%. So in this guide, I’ll explain how the Pi Cycle Top Indicator works, and how to use it to help you potentially spot bitcoin’s next peak.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Mining Stock Breakout? WGMI ETF Chart Analysis

    Bitcoin mining stocks ascending triangle breakout
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    June 6, 2024

    Bitcoin mining stocks could be on the verge of a major breakout. The Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (ticker: WGMI) has been building a giant ascending triangle pattern for almost a year – and that’s now getting close to a resolution. 

    Read More

  • Should You Buy The Coinbase Dip? COIN Technical Analysis

    COIN technical analysis uptrend
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 28, 2024

    Coinbase stock (COIN) rallied 15% last week – completely erasing its drop from earlier this month. Here’s what I’m seeing in COIN’s price chart right now from a technical analysis perspective. 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Production Cost Indicator Explained (How To Use It)

    Bitcoin production cost indicator image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 14, 2024

    The Bitcoin Production Cost Indicator by Capriole Investments can help you decide whether bitcoin is “cheap” or “expensive” from a fundamental perspective. In this guide, I’ll explain how the indicator works and what it says about bitcoin’s value right now.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Fibonacci Extension Target: Is $100,000 Fair Game?

    Bitcoin bull run targets
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 12, 2024

    Bitcoin is trading well above its last bull market peak of $69,000 – set in the glory days of November 2021. But what’s a reasonable price target for this bull market? If we take a bitcoin Fibonacci extension, $100,000 a coin seems fair. Here’s what you need to know. 

    Read More

  • Chinese Stocks Could Be A Bargain: MSCI China Ratio Analysis

    Chinese stocks via MSCI china index
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 11, 2024

    The MSCI China Index tracks the performance of almost 800 Chinese stocks. And right now, it could offer better value than stocks of the MSCI World Index, and similar indices for the US, Japan, UK, Europe, and emerging markets. Per the chart below, China has the lowest price-to-earnings (P/E), forward price-to-earnings (Fwd P/E), and price-to-book (P/B) ratios of the bunch. 

    Read More

  • ETHBTC Analysis: Ascending Triangle & ETF Deadline Breakout?

    ETHBTC ascending triangle
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 6, 2024

    If you’re pondering whether Ethereum or Bitcoin will do better this year, take a look at this chart. It shows a potential ascending triangle forming for ether priced in bitcoin (aka the ETHBTC trading pair). If it breaks to the upside, you could expect ether (ETH) to outperform bitcoin (BTC) for a while.

    Read More

  • How To Earn Passive Income From Crypto Staking (3 Methods)

    crypto Staking guide
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 5, 2024

    Einstein said that compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world. If he were still around today, he’d probably call staking the 9th. But what is crypto staking exactly, and how can it transform your digital investments into a source of passive income? In this guide, I’ll explain what staking is and how it works. I’ll then compare three ways that you can stake your own coins and tokens to make your crypto work harder for you. We’ll go from complete beginner staking options to the highly advanced.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Closed January With An Indecision Doji (What It Means)

    Bitcoin monthly close indecision doji January
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    February 1, 2024

    If you’d bought bitcoin at exactly the start of January, then sold it at exactly the end of January, you would’ve made just under 1% on your investment. But in that month, you would’ve been whipsawed around (a lot). On January 11th (Bitcoin ETF launch day), you were up around 15% for the month. Then on January 23rd, you were down about 9%. With all that volatility and no real decision in the end, bitcoin closed January with a “long-legged indecision doji” candle. In this post, I’ll explain what that is, and what it could mean for bitcoin over the next few months.

    Read More

  • Last Week’s S&P 500 All Time High: A Different Perspective

    S&P 500 all time high
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 22, 2024

    The US stock market has officially recovered from the 2022 bear market – with a new S&P 500 all-time high. The index tracks the growth of the 500 biggest stocks in the US. Last week, it finished trading at just under 4,840 points – about 20 points above its peak in January of 2021. 

    Read More

  • Are Bitcoin Mining Stocks Worth The Risk?

    Bitcoin mining stocks vs bitcoin
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 19, 2024

    If you’re looking to dabble in bitcoin mining stocks, this chart can give you some idea of their risk versus bitcoin. It shows what would’ve happened if you’d invested $100 in the Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI, green) when it first started trading on the Nasdaq in February of 2022. Compare that with the “steadier” pure bitcoin investment in blue. 

    Read More

  • The Bitcoin Fibonacci Rejection: 1 Point To The Bears

    Bitcoin Fibonacci rejection 0.618
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 15, 2024

    Despite all the ETF hype last Thursday, bitcoin has been “rejected” at a major technical price target: the 0.618 “golden” Fibonacci retracement level. In the past, this has led to more downside for bitcoin. Of course, history doesn’t have to repeat itself here. But if you’re looking for a reason to be cautious, this is one of them. Let’s jump in.

    Read More

  • Ethereum ETF: The Next Rumor To Buy After SEC Hack?

    EThereum ETF speculation ETHBTC scaled
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 10, 2024

    Yesterday’s fiasco involving the SEC, Twitter (X), and Bitcoin ETFs has revealed where crypto investors might flock to next: Ethereum. Here’s a breakdown of what happened, and why the Ethereum ETF could be crypto’s next big trade.

    Read More

  • Solana Has Led The Crypto Bull Run With Relative Strength

    Solana relative strength scaled
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 9, 2024

    Since bitcoin bottomed on November 21st of 2022, Solana has shown relative strength compared to other “blue chip” crypto assets. Per this chart, if you’d invested $100 in Solana (SOL) back then, it would be worth around $860 today. It’s beaten the rest of the pack by miles. As for what this might mean for your crypto portfolio, here are three (long-term) strategies to consider.

    Read More

  • Will The Bitcoin ETF Be A “Sell The News” Event?

    Bitcoin ETF sell the news scaled
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    January 8, 2024

    There’s a fair chance the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve one or more spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) this week. This would be major news for bitcoin. So naturally, investors are speculating whether the ETF approval could be a “sell the news” event. Here’s what you need to know.

    Read More

  • The Bitcoin Pullback Could Be Over (For Now)

    bitcoin pullback scaled V2
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    December 19, 2023

    The past two weeks haven’t been great for bitcoin. Its price dropped by about 10% from a high of just under $45,000 a coin to a low of just above $40,000. But Monday’s price action suggests that the bitcoin pullback could be over for now. And the bullish uptrend is more likely to continue than not. 

    Read More

  • Crypto Alert: Watch for This Altseason Indicator’s Next Move

    Altseason indicator
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    December 7, 2023

    Bitcoin has been stealing the crypto show with its recent rally – with most “altcoins” falling behind the king. But at some point bitcoin will start to slow down. And history suggests this might give the rest of the crypto market a brief window to catch up. The question is when? When can we expect a glorious “altseason”, where Ethereum and other altcoins outpace bitcoin? Here’s a potential altseason indicator that might fire off soon.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Is Riding The Bands Of A Bull Market

    riding the bands weekly chart bitcoin
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    December 5, 2023

    Bitcoin is doing something it only does in major bull runs: riding the top Bollinger Band on the weekly time frame. Here’s a quick explanation of what it means and why it’s incredibly bullish for bitcoin – until it isn’t.

    Read More

  • Will Altcoins Fly Or Falter This Christmas?

    Altcoin market decision time scaled V2
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 23, 2023

    A golden rule of trading is that you don’t get bullish at resistance. And right now, the altcoin market is hovering around a massive resistance level (green line). This chart shows the weekly price candles of the TOTAL2 index, which essentially measures the total market size of crypto without bitcoin. The index is now on its third attempt to break above the $650 billion dollar mark. 

    Read More

  • Crypto Swing Trading Strategy Explained: 5 Key Rules

    the at of crypto swing trading cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 22, 2023

    There’s swing trading, and there’s crypto swing trading. In this guide, I’ll explain how to swing trade the world’s most volatile asset class – with 5 key rules I’ve learned from trading it since 2017. You’ll get the hard-earned lessons without the hard knocks.

    Read More

  • Is Binance’s BNB Coin About To Jump Over Its Legal Hurdles?

    BNB coin cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 21, 2023

    Binance (the world’s biggest crypto exchange) is in talks with the US Department of Justice (DoJ) to settle a year-long criminal investigation by paying over $4 billion in fines. That’s a lot of money, but Binance can probably afford to fork it out.

    Read More

  • Coinbase Breakout Level: 3rd Time Lucky For COIN?

    Coinbase breakout cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 20, 2023

    Coinbase (COIN) has been a key beneficiary of this year’s crypto rally – with the stock price up over 200% off its lows. But for all its strength, it’s struggled to crack through the $100 ceiling. With the stock ending last week at $99.05, this will now be its 3rd attempt (grey circle, in the chart). So, is a Coinbase breakout still in the cards?

    Read More

  • Dogecoin Price Analysis: Getting Its Bark Back?

    Doge coin price analysis - bull pennant
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 18, 2023

    Altcoins have seen some mega rallies lately. But Dogecoin – usually one of the most speculative of them all – hasn’t had a “proper run” just yet. Sure, it’s up around 50% this quarter. But that’s hardly the FOMO levels it’s commanded in the past. 

    Read More

  • Ethereum vs Bitcoin: What’s A Better Investment Right Now?

    Ethereum vs bitcoin
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 15, 2023

    Bitcoin is up about 120% this year, while Ethereum is “only” up 70%. But over the past 3 weeks, Ethereum has started to steal bitcoin’s thunder – beating it by about 7%. This begs the question: Ethereum vs bitcoin, which is better bang for your buck right now? So in this article, I’ve compared them based on 3 key criteria to help you decide for yourself.

    Read More

  • 2 Reasons Why $38,000-ish Is A Major Bitcoin Price Target

    Bitcoin price target
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 14, 2023

    The bitcoin price reached as high as $38,000 last week. But since then, the rally has lost some steam. And that might be because the $38,000 region is a major bitcoin price target for technical traders. Here are two reasons why.

    Read More

  • Solana is halfway back to its all time high: Don’t FOMO

    Solana all time high scaled
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 10, 2023

    Solana has been one of the best-performing digital assets this year. SOL has rallied about 500% since its $8 low last December – meaning it’s now recovered more than half its bear market losses. From here, Solana would need to see a similar percentage gain to reclaim its previous all-time high of $260 (November 2021).

    Read More

  • Why Is The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Doubling Bitcoin This Year?

    grayscale bitcoin trust
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 8, 2023

    The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) is up almost 250% this year – but bitcoin itself is only up half that. Let’s unpack what’s going on here.

    Read More

  • Why Cash Is King In Crypto

    Cash is king in crypto
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 7, 2023

    “Cash is king” is a popular saying in investing. The idea is that cash gives you the resources to buy cheap investments – which could pay off over time. And this chart shows why that might be true when investing in bitcoin.  

    Read More

  • Is Coinbase a Good Investment? In-Depth COIN Stock Analysis

    Is coinbase a good investment cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 6, 2023

    Coinbase (ticker: COIN) started trading on the NASDAQ on April 14, 2021. The stock price reached an all-time high that day of $428 – but it currently trades for less than $100. Last Thursday, the crypto exchange released its third-quarter earnings report. So, I’ve gone through it with a fine tooth comb to check if Coinbase is a good investment right now. Here’s what I found.

    Read More

  • Mutual Fund vs ETF: Which is A Better Investment For You?

    Mutual fund vs ETF
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    November 2, 2023

    Mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) each let you own a mix of investments – without having to buy lots of investments at once. This makes both of them great options for diversification. But if you’re racking your brain trying to choose which option is better for you, this guide’s got you covered. Let’s jump in. 

    Read More

  • Long Bitcoin, Short The Banks? Not So fast…

    long bitcoin short banks
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 27, 2023

    The SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) is an exchange-traded fund that invests in American banks and other financial services companies. KBE is so far down over 20% this year, while bitcoin is up over 100%. As you’d expect, cries to “long bitcoin, short the banks” have now grown louder. But if you’re a long-term investor trying to build a diversified portfolio, this chart might suggest a different view: to buy them both. 

    Read More

  • 3 Types of Chart Patterns That Traders Should Understand

    Chart patterns cover image v2
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 26, 2023

    Chart patterns can be effective tools for traders and investors. They can help you decide when to buy, sell, or sit tight with an investment. But if you search “chart patterns” in Google, you’ll find hundreds of different variations. So in this guide, we’ll break them down into just three basic types: bottoming patterns, topping patterns, and compression patterns. Let’s jump in.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Barbell Strategy Explained: Muscle Up Your Portfolio

    Bitcoin Barbell Strategy
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 24, 2023

    There’s a lot to be said about spreading your investment portfolio across many different baskets. But the barbell strategy takes a different approach. It splits an investment portfolio into just two weights on either side: the “risky” side (stocks) and the “safe” side (bonds). In this post, I’ll explain how the barbell strategy might work when one of those sides is bitcoin. 

    Read More

  • Beware The Bitcoin ETF Launch Date

    Bitcoin ETF approval vs SPDR Gold shares ETF launch
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 24, 2023

    The bitcoin price made a fresh yearly high yesterday of around $35,000. This comes as more investors expect the first physically-backed bitcoin ETF (exchange-traded fund) to be approved by the US regulator. We don’t know exactly when it will be approved, but it could be anything from a few days to a few months out. Yet, bitcoin’s recent rally suggests an ETF approval might come sooner rather than later. 

    Read More

  • Chainlink Breaks 1.5-Year Trading Range. Now what?

    Link price cover V2 scaled
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 23, 2023

    This chart shows the price of Chainlink’s LINK token over the past few years. After dropping by about 90% in Phase 1 (May 2021 to May 2022), the price ranged sideways for about 18 months (Phase 2). But last week, LINK finally broke above the top of that range, ending yesterday just above $10 a token. 

    Read More

  • How To Invest For Retirement: A 7-Step Guide

    Invest for retirement
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 20, 2023

    Whatever your age, it’s important to plan ahead and invest for retirement. Here’s a 7-step guide to help you retire in style.

    Read More

  • US Treasury Bonds: 3 Reasons To Consider Buying Them Now

    US treasury bond cover V2
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 18, 2023

    US treasury bonds have been under pressure lately. The iShares 20 year+ treasury bond ETF (TLT) is down about 35% since the US Federal Reserve (Fed) started raising interest rates in March of 2022. TLT tracks the price of US treasury bonds – or American government bonds that take 20 to 30 years to mature. And here are 3 reasons why now could be a good time to add them to your portfolio.

    Read More

  • Gold Price Analysis: Bear Trap In The Making?

    Gold price bear trap cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 13, 2023

    Gold bugs haven’t had much to celebrate this summer, with the gold price slowly bleeding out since May. But this week has (so far) seen gold up about 4%. Most of this rally happened after US inflation numbers came out Wednesday. At 3.7%, the consumer price index (CPI) number was slightly hotter than the 3.6% analysts expected. And there could now be a classic gold “bear trap” in the making. 

    Read More

  • Is The Nasdaq’s “Dip” Already Over?

    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 10, 2023

    The Nasdaq 100 index (which mostly tracks US tech stocks) rallied an impressive 50% in the first half of this year. But it’s been losing points in the second half – and is down about 5% since its peak in July. This recent “dip” has had the gloom and doom brigade shouting for much lower prices in the US tech sector. Sure, there are economic issues afoot that could make that happen. But this chart suggests the dip might already be over.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Halving Explained: 5 Things Investors Must Know

    Halving guide cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 9, 2023

    The 4th Bitcoin halving will happen in April 2024. It’s a big deal for bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market. In this guide, we’ll outline 5 things investors should know about the halving. We’ll start off by explaining what the halving means for Bitcoin (the blockchain, with a big “B”). We’ll then shift the focus to what it could mean for the price of bitcoin (the digital currency, with a small “b”). Let’s jump in.

    Read More

  • The Altcoin Market Might Not Be In A Downtrend After All

    Altcoin market Total2
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 6, 2023

    The red and green bars in this chart show the week-to-week movement of the TOTAL2 Index. TOTAL2 is a general proxy for the performance of the altcoin market – i.e. crypto excluding bitcoin. After rallying 50% in the first quarter of this year, the index has slowly drifted down. It’s been in a technical downtrend since April. 

    Read More

  • How To Value Bitcoin (10 Methods Simply Explained)

    How to value bitcoin cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 5, 2023

    Bitcoin’s price moves around a lot. But as crypto-skeptic Warren Buffett once said: “Price is what you pay, value is what you get.” In this guide, you’ll learn how to value bitcoin using 10 different methods. These can help you decide whether bitcoin’s current price is cheap or expensive relative to its value. So, here are 10 ways to value bitcoin (in no particular order).

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Technical Analysis Update (3 Charts)

    Btcoin 21-week EMA_blog
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    October 2, 2023

    The bitcoin price jumped about 6% higher over the weekend – ending the week at just under $28,000 a coin. This level is also about 13% above its September low of around $24,800. Here are 3 bitcoin charts I’m looking at right now to see if this move is sustainable.

    Read More

  • 3 Things Every Crypto Investor Should Do Right Now

    3_Things_Every_Crypto_Investor_Should_Do_Now cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 29, 2023

    Crypto is incredibly dull right now, but this is not the time to get complacent. So, here 3 things every crypto investor should be doing.

    Read More

  • Supertrend Indicator: Good For Timing Bitcoin?

    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 28, 2023

    The supertrend indicator is touted as a top tool for spotting the trend of an investment. In this guide, you’ll learn what it is, how it works, and whether it’s any good for timing bitcoin’s moves. 

    Read More

  • Is Solana A Good Investment? A Plain English Guide

    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 21, 2023

    Investing legend Peter Lynch once said: “Know what you own, and know why you own it”. So if you’re wondering if Solana is a good investment, this guide’s got you covered. First, we’ll focus on understanding what Solana is and how it works. We’ll then explore its potential long-term investment case. So, let’s jump in.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin’s Bullish Engulfing Candle (1 Point to the Bulls)

    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 19, 2023

    This chart shows the weekly price movements for Bitcoin since mid-August. As you can see, “Candle 2” (which ended last week Sunday) was the first green candle of the bunch. But more interestingly, it was a bullish engulfing candle.

    Read More

  • Keeping It Simple: Ethereum Ascending Triangle

    EThereum ascending triangle
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 19, 2023

    When it comes to technical analysis, there’s a lot to be said about keeping things simple. And this Ethereum ascending triangle is about as simple as it gets for most crypto traders. It’s a weekly chart – meaning each red or green bar represents one week of price movement. This way, the chart cuts out the short-term noise to focus on the bigger trade. 

    Read More

  • RNDR Token Guide: 5 Things Investors Should Know

    RDNR token cover
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 18, 2023

    RNDR token has been one of the top-performing cryptos of 2023 so far. So if you’re considering it as a potential long-term investment, this guide has 5 things you should know.

    Read More

  • Two Reasons To Sell Nvidia (And One Reason Not To…)

    Sell Nvidia cover image
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 13, 2023

    Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you’ll know that Nvidia’s been one the best investments of 2023 so far. The AI chip maker’s stock is up over 200% this year, and over 300% since it bottomed last October. But for the contrarian investor, there could be two reasons to sell Nvidia over the coming months (or at least, take some profits…).

    Read More

  • What To Do About The Bitcoin Drop

    Bitcoin drop cover scaled
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    September 11, 2023

    Bitcoin has dropped about 20% since July, when it was just under $32,000 a coin. But with the price now trading closer to $25,000, you might be asking yourself what to do. So here are three things to consider about the bitcoin drop.

    First, A closer look at bitcoin’s technicals

    Let’s break down bitcoin’s weekly chart. Each bar you see represents one week’s worth of price action. By looking at it this way, we can get a clearer view of bitcoin’s longer-term trend – minus the daily distractions.

    Read More

  • MVRV Z-Score Guide: Decoding Bitcoin’s Value

    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 31, 2023

    Want to know if Bitcoin is a good buy or too expensive? The MVRV Z-Score can help. It’s a useful indicator first developed by David Puell and Murad Muhmudov that uses info from Bitcoin’s public transactions on the blockchain to find its “fair value”. In this guide, we’ll learn what the MVRV Z-Score is, how it works, and how to use it to check if Bitcoin is currently a buy or not.

    Read More

  • An Investor’s Guide To Ethereum And Ether

    What Is Ethereum
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 10, 2023

    Ethereum is the second biggest digital asset behind bitcoin – and for good reason. In this guide, I’ll explain what Ethereum is, how it works, and why ether (ETH) belongs in most crypto portfolios. 

    Read More

  • A Bitcoin Head And Shoulders Pattern Is Forming…

    Bitcoin head and shoulders pattern
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 9, 2023

    There’s a bitcoin head and shoulders pattern forming. It’s a bearish technical pattern, and you can see it brewing on this chart. It first shows the left shoulder, where bitcoin peaked in late April at around $29,300. It then shows the head in the middle, where bitcoin topped at $31,000 in mid-April. And finally, there’s the right shoulder, where the price got to about $30,000 in late April before heading down to where it is now.

    Read More

  • Best Investment Books Of All Time: My Top 10 List

    best investment books
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 3, 2023

    Benjamin Franklin said it best: “An investment in knowledge pays the best interest”. And whether you’re a seasoned pro or just starting out, reading the best investment books can pay big dividends later. So, I’ve put together a list of my top ten (in no particular order). Together, they cover everything from the basics to more advanced investing strategies. I’ve also included an interesting quote from each book that got me thinking. So without further ado, here’s the list!

    Read More

  • What The Failure of First Republic Bank Says About Bitcoin

    First republic bank
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    May 2, 2023

    First Republic Bank has failed. Its shares stopped trading before US markets opened on Monday after regulators seized the firm. It’s the second biggest regional bank failure in US history, and here’s what it says about bitcoin. 

    Read More

  • Solana Has Reclaimed Its 200-Day Moving Average

    solana 200 day SMA
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 27, 2023

    If you’re looking for a decent risk-to-reward technical setup in the crypto market, Solana seems like as good a bet as any to me.

    Read More

  • Silver’s A Bargain, According To The Gold To Silver Ratio

    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 25, 2023

    Gold’s pretty much trading at all-time highs. Silver’s only halfway there. The gold to silver ratio says silver’s a bargain. Let’s dig in.

    Read More

  • Ray Dalio And The All Weather Way Of Investing

    Ray Dalio risk parity
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 24, 2023

    Ray Dalio founded Bridgewater Associates, one of the world’s biggest hedge funds with over $200 billion of assets under management. Bridgewater is famous for its All Weather Fund, which it built to weather any economic season. So let’s take a closer look at how Dalio invests, and how you could do something similar in your own portfolio through a basket of ETFs.

    Read More

  • Why It Does Not Pay To Sell In May

    sell in may
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 21, 2023

    “Sell in May and go away” is a popular phrase in investing: the idea is to exit stocks in May and then buy them back in November. But even though that might work out sometimes, history suggests it isn’t the best strategy for building long-term wealth. Here’s why.

    Read More

  • They Don’t Call Them Growth Stocks For Nothing

    growth stocks vs value stocks
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 14, 2023

    If you’d invested $10,000 in the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ, blue) ten years ago, you’d be sitting on just over $50,000 right now. QQQ tracks the Nasdaq 100 index, which currently has almost 50% in the high-growth US tech sector. But if you’d put that money in the iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF (IWD, yellow), you’d only have about half that. So over the past decade, value stocks have generally taken a back seat to growth stocks.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Dominance Is Losing Steam. Altseason Coming?

    bitcoin dominance
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 14, 2023

    Bitcoin’s reigned supreme this year and almost doubled in value since its November low. For the most part, it’s outpaced the rest of the crypto market – with altcoins generally lagging behind. But this bitcoin dominance chart suggests that could be changing. Is the king finally stepping back to let the knights and nobles catch up? 

    Read More

  • An Investor’s Guide To Bitcoin

    What Is Bitcoin
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 13, 2023

    Bitcoin was the fastest investment in history to go from zero to $1 trillion in market value. And it did it without a CEO or board of well-paid executives steering the ship. So what exactly is Bitcoin and how does it work? We’ll break it down for you in this guide – and explain why you might want some in your investment portfolio. 

    Read More

  • Bitcoin’s Having A Bollinger Band Squeeze: Big Move Ahead.

    Bitcoin bollinger band squeeze
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 6, 2023

    Yesterday bitcoin didn’t do much: it finished up just 0.02% from where it started. And over the past couple of weeks, it’s mostly hovered within a narrow 5% range. But this chart shows another Bollinger Band squeeze in the works (blue circle). And that suggests bitcoin’s next big move is coming soon.

    Read More

  • Bitcoin Will Have A Big Drop At Some Point. But At What Price Level?

    bitcoin fibonacci levels
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 5, 2023

    Bitcoin is on a rally of epic proportions. But at some point, it’s going to pull back in a big way. The question is at what price level? This chart might offer some clues.

    Read More

  • Should You Ditch The 60:40 Portfolio For This Alternative?

    60 40 portfolio
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 4, 2023

    The 60:40 portfolio is a popular strategy for investors who want a good tradeoff between risk and reward. But there’s probably a better one for that – and I’ll explain it in this post.

    Read More

  • Why Now Might Be The Time To Get Into Altcoins

    altcoins
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    April 3, 2023

    Most digital assets haven’t kept up with bitcoin this year. But for contrarian crypto investors, now could be the time to spread your bets into a mix of stronger altcoins. Here’s why. 

    Read More

  • Gold or Bitcoin, Which Is The Better Investment?

    gold or bitcoin
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 31, 2023

    Gold or bitcoin? It’s a question you might ask yourself in this economic climate. One is a store of value from Ancient Babylonian times. The other is modern, digital, and mathematically programmed to get scarcer by the day. Both can’t be debased like fiat currencies. Gold bugs hoard gold. Bitcoiners HODL bitcoin. Both cost money to mine. Which is the better investment?

    Read More

  • Here’s What Ethereum’s Shanghai Upgrade Means For Ether

    ethereum shanghai upgrade
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 30, 2023

    The folks over at Ethereum just announced it: the Shanghai upgrade is set for 22:27:35 UTC on April 12, 2023. It’s a big deal for the No.2 blockchain that could have big implications for the price of ether. So here’s what you need to know.

    Read More

  • A Rare Buy Signal Just Flashed For US Stocks

    buy signal US stocks
    By Jonathan Hobbs, CFA
    March 29, 2023

    With so much economic uncertainty afoot, you might be wondering whether stocks can still go the distance this year. So I used ChatGPT-4 to help me program and backtest a long-term investment strategy in TradingView. And it’s just flashed a rare buy signal for US stocks. 

    Read More